Weekend Report for Monday, November 11, 2024

Bottom Line:

As expected following the strong rallies on Wednesday in the US indices following the US elections, we have seen immediate upside follow-through. The current rate of change in the indices is unsustainable and we should very soon see a more two-sided market.

However, the price action suggests that any significant top is unlikely for the foreseeable future.

The SPX, NDX, NYA and DOW all made new all-time highs last week. The RUT came very, very close to achieving the same.

PDF: Weekend Report_2024_11_11

VIDEO: https://youtu.be/BKOlK-ndqp8

 

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SPX

Upper KRA: ?
Lower KRA: 5646; 5865

NDX

Upper KRA: ?
Lower KRAs: 20894; 20527

DOW

Upper KRA: ?
Lower KRAs: 413639; 42845

RUT Weekly

Upper KRA: 2437
Lower KRA: 2301

New York Composite

Upper KRA: ?
Lower KRAs: 19827

Internals – VIX

No change: VIX closed at its lowest level in over a month. It is likely to drop more if the market continues to work higher.

Internals – NYSE Data

There is an obvious divergence at the moment between price and breadth. This is not a sell signal but it is something to watch.

 

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US Dollar

US 10-yr Notes

Notes are in a very sharp downtrend. A bounce is increasingly likely.

Gold

Higher highs and lows. The intermediate and long-term trends are up.

Crude

Crude is just above a critical long-term level.